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Transport, climate change and the city

By: Contributor(s): Series: Routledge advances in climate change researchPublication details: London Routledge 2014Description: xxiv,376pISBN:
  • 9780415660037
Subject(s):
DDC classification:
  • 388.4 HIC
Contents:
CONTENTS List of illustrations ix Preface xix Acknowledgements xxii 1 Transport, climate change and the city 1 Introduction Climate change: the story so far A global transport perspective Reperceiving: after car dependence Framing the debate The dream and the reality: the picture of unsustainable mobility 2 Futures, scenarios and strategic conversations 65 Futures thinking Dealing with uncertainty The forecasting problem Utilising scenario analysis Backcasting and the VIBAT approach Developing scenarios Scenario analysis and MCA Conclusions 3 Ambitions towards sustainable mobility (London) 94 Introduction The ‘world city’ context Baseline and projections Available policy interventions and packages Developing scenarios ‘Known unknowns’: international air travel, carbon rationing and oil prices Conclusions: achieving deep reductions 4 Affluent rurality and car dependence (Oxfordshire) 141 Introduction The county and city context Baseline and projections Available potential interventions and packages Developing scenarios Low carbon transport and wider MCA impacts Conclusions: optimising strategies 5 Breaking the projected trend (Delhi) 177 Introduction The megacity context Baseline and projection Equity in target setting Developing scenarios Exploring the ‘optimised’ scenario Conclusions: avoiding the BAU 6 Building a new world (Jinan) 214 Introduction The emerging provincial city context Baseline and projections Developing scenarios Motorisation v. sustainable mobility Conclusions: accommodating the growth 7 Urban dispersal and high motorisation (Auckland) 259 Introduction The motorised city context Baseline and projections Developing scenarios Towards sustainable mobility Transition possibilities Conclusions: a radical transformation? The emerging picture of sustainable mobility 8 Sustainable transport and the city 319 Thinking about the future Meta narratives in transport Pathways to the future Adaptive backcasting Components of the future The critical role of urban structure Thinking the unthinkable? Towards the day-after-tomorrow Annex 354 References 356 Index 372
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Book CEPT Library Faculty of Planning 388.4 HIC Available 020250
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CONTENTS
List of illustrations ix
Preface xix
Acknowledgements xxii
1 Transport, climate change and the city 1
Introduction
Climate change: the story so far
A global transport perspective
Reperceiving: after car dependence
Framing the debate
The dream and the reality: the picture of unsustainable mobility
2 Futures, scenarios and strategic conversations 65
Futures thinking
Dealing with uncertainty
The forecasting problem
Utilising scenario analysis
Backcasting and the VIBAT approach
Developing scenarios
Scenario analysis and MCA
Conclusions
3 Ambitions towards sustainable mobility (London) 94
Introduction
The ‘world city’ context
Baseline and projections
Available policy interventions and packages
Developing scenarios
‘Known unknowns’: international air travel, carbon rationing and oil prices
Conclusions: achieving deep reductions
4 Affluent rurality and car dependence (Oxfordshire) 141
Introduction
The county and city context
Baseline and projections
Available potential interventions and packages
Developing scenarios
Low carbon transport and wider MCA impacts
Conclusions: optimising strategies
5 Breaking the projected trend (Delhi) 177
Introduction
The megacity context
Baseline and projection
Equity in target setting
Developing scenarios
Exploring the ‘optimised’ scenario
Conclusions: avoiding the BAU
6 Building a new world (Jinan) 214
Introduction
The emerging provincial city context
Baseline and projections
Developing scenarios
Motorisation v. sustainable mobility
Conclusions: accommodating the growth
7 Urban dispersal and high motorisation (Auckland) 259
Introduction
The motorised city context
Baseline and projections
Developing scenarios
Towards sustainable mobility
Transition possibilities
Conclusions: a radical transformation?
The emerging picture of sustainable mobility
8 Sustainable transport and the city 319
Thinking about the future
Meta narratives in transport
Pathways to the future
Adaptive backcasting
Components of the future
The critical role of urban structure
Thinking the unthinkable?
Towards the day-after-tomorrow
Annex 354
References 356
Index 372

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