Table of Contents
Chapter 1 Introduction 1
1.1 Introduction I
1.2 Need for Study 1
1.3 Objective 2
1.4 Scope of study 2
1.5 Methodology 2
1.6 Data Coll ection and Analysis 2
Chapter 2 Literature review 3
2.1 Introduction 3
2.2 Net Cash Flow Models 4
2.3 Idiographic Method vs. Nomothetic Method 5
2.4 Cash flow Management-The Indian Scenario 7
2.5 Cash flow forecasting 9
2.5.1 Forecasting cash flow under Indian Conditions 9
2.6 Ideal Curves and Previous Models 11
2.7 Risk and Risk Management: An overview 13
2.7.1 Risk Management 13
2.7.2 Risk Management Strategy 14
2. 7 .2.1 Risk Identification 14
2.7.2.2 Qualitative risk analysis 15
2.7.2.3 Quantitative risk Analysis 16
2.7.2.4 Risk Response plan 16
2.7.3 Probabilistic Cost and Duration Estimating 17
2.7.4 Risk Factors Involved in Modeling Cash Flow Forecast 20
2.8 Research gap 29
2.9 Research Methodology 30
Chapter 3- Field survey for Risk factors Affecting Cash flow 31
3.1 lntroduction 31
3.2 Cash Flow Risk Factors 31
3.2.1 Questionnaire Design . 31
3.2.2 Respondent Profile 32
3.2.3 Data collection 34
3.3 Data validation 46
3.4 Data analysis 48
3.4.1 Relative Importance Index 48
Chapter 4 Risk Integration Framework Development 53
4.1 Introduction 53
4.2 Development of the framework 53
4.3 Framework 53
Chapter 5 Case Study 56
5.1 Introduction 56
5.2 Project Description :. 56
5.3 Planning and Scheduling 56
5.3.1 Work breakdown Structure 57
5.3.2 Scheduling 57
5.3.3 Cost Estimation 58
5.3.4 Risk Implementation 60
5.3.4.1 Assigning three time estimates 60
5.3.4.2 Resource Uncertainty 62
5.3.4.3 Building risk Register 63
5.3.4.4 Building Risk Register 64
5 .3 .4.5 Quantitative Risk register 65
5.3.4.6 Running Risk analysis : 66
5.4 Key Results of Risk Analysis 68
5.4.1 Project Cost variation : 69
5.4.2 Project Duration Variation 70
5.5 Cash out flow generation for various probability 71
5.6 Generating Cash inflow 73
5.7 Net cash flow generation 73
CHAPTER 6 Summary, Conclusions and Recommendations 78
6.1 Summary 78
6.2 Conclusions 78
6.3 Recommendations for Future Work 79
References 80