Contents
List of Tables, Figures and Annexures 9
Abbreviations 13
Foreword 15
Yoginder K. Alagh 21
1. Introduction 23
• Overview
• Vulnerability Concept: Emergence and Development
- Disaster Stream Models of Vulnerability Social Science Framework of Vulnerability
- Global Environmental Change School of Thought
• Application of the Vulnerability Concept in Risk Measurement: Recent Approaches
• Objectives of the Study
• Implications of the Study
2. Disaster Profile of Gujarat: Trend and Impact Assessment 39
• Disaster: Meaning and Classification
• Assessing the Risk Due to Disasters: A Methodological Approach
- Data Sources
• Probability of Disasters: Frequency and Significance
• Social Impact
• Economic Impact
• Macroeconomic Impact
• Intensity Indicators of Climatic Disasters
• Expenditure on Disasters • Disaster Management in Gujarat • Conclusion
3. Development and Disasters: A Status of Development in Gujarat 67
• Demographic Scenario
• The Status of Education
• Inequality in Population
• Health Status in the State
• Economic Growth and Development in Gujarat
• Status of Natural Resources and Environment
• Conclusion
4. Determinants of Vulnerability in the State:A Macro Level Model 81
• Risk Assessment for Gujarat: A Methodological Approach
• Determinants of Vulnerability
• Applying Vulnerability Analysis to Calculate Risk Slow Onset Disasters: Drought -
Rapid Onset Disasters: Cyclone and Flood
• Composite Risk Index for Climate-Induced Disasters
• Conclusion
5. Vulnerability Analysis at Micro Level 101
• Selection of Households
• Socioeconomic Status of the Selected Households
• Physical Exposure
• Access to Social Infrastructure
• Drivers of Vulnerability at Micro Level
- Vulnerability towards Cyclones
- Vulnerability towards Flood
- Vulnerability towards Drought
6. Conclusion and a Way Ahead 111
References 115
Annexures 121