Contents Preface vii Preface to the second Edition ix 1. Earthquake Hazards, Lights and Sounds 1 2. Instruments for Earthquake Forecasting 16 3. Earthquake Prediction Climatology 46 4. Physical Models for Earthquake Forecasting 80 5. Long Range Earthquake Forecasting (Hazard Assessment) 97 6. Medium and Short Range Earthquake Forecasting 133 7. Earthquake Triggering and Control 199 8. Implications of Earthquake Forecasting 228 9. Response to Earthquake Forecasting 237 10. Publicity and Evaluation of Earthquake Forecasts 247 11. Earthquake Disaster Management 260 12. Awareness for Safer Buildings 280 Appendices A Modified Mercalli Scale 298 B The Geological Time Scale 300 C Standard Velocity Models 301 D Earthquake Safety Rules 302 E Models for Monitoring Microearthquakes in India 305 F Damaging Earthquakes in India 307 G Some Useful Formulae 311 Select Bibliography 319 Glossary 335 Index 339