1 Summary
4 Section 1 Introduction
5 Section 2 Description of the Research Approach
5 2.1 Literature Review
5 2.1.1 Identification
5 2.1.2 Compilation
6 2.2 Interview and Online Survey Procedures
7 Section 3 Current Uses
7 3.1 General Literature Results
7 3.1.1 New Modeling Techniques and Approaches
8 3.1.2 Data-Driven Risk Assessment
8 3.1.3 The Use of Risk Analysis and Route Choice
8 3.1.4 Economic Risk Analysis
8 3.2 Carriers
8 3.2.1 Association of American Railroads (AAR)
9 3.2.2 Class I Railroad
10 3.3 Shippers
10 3.3.1 Large Chemical Manufacturer #1
11 3.3.2 Large Chemical Manufacturer #2
12 3.3.3 Institute of Makers of Explosives
13 3.3.4 Large Chemical/Plastics Manufacturer
14 3.4 Federal Agencies
14 3.4.1 Department of Energy
16 3.4.2 Department of Transportation
20 3.4.3 Department of Homeland Security
22 3.5 State Agencies
22 3.5.1 California Emergency Management Agency
22 3.5.2 State Transportation Department
23 3.6 International Organizations
23 3.6.1 Transport Dangerous Goods (Transport Canada)
23 3.6.2 Foreign Security Agency
24 3.6.3 Public Foreign Research Organization
25 3.7 Consulting and Research Organizations
25 3.7.1 ABS Consulting
26 3.7.2 Booz Alien Hamilton
26 3.7.3 Engineering Systems Inc. (ESI)
26 3.7.4 Private Consulting Firm
27 3.7.5 Private Consultant
27 3.7.6 National Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of
TerrorismEvents (CREATE)
27 3.7.7 National Pipeline Safety and Operations Research Center
28 3.7.8 Security Analysis and Risk Management Association (S ARM A)
29 3.7.9 The Kentucky Transportation Center (KTC) at the University of
Kentucky
29 3.7.10 University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign (UIUC)
31 Section 4 Characterization
31 4.1 Decision Matrices
32 4.1.1 Mode Choice
34 4.1.2 Route Choice
39 4.1.3 Facility Siting
41 4.1.4 Packaging Selection
43 4.1.5 Alternate Product Selection
44 4.1.6 Emergency Management Resource Planning
46 4.1.7 Operational Changes
49 4.1.8 Security Measure Identification, Prioritization, and Evaluation
51 4.1.9 Security Risk Situational Awareness
52 4.2 Model Matrices
53 4.2.1 Boston Hazmat Route Evaluation
54 4.2.2 CCPS Guidelines: Qualitative Risk Assessment Process
55 4.2.3 CCPS Guidelines: Quantitative Risk Assessment Process
56 4.2.4 CCPS Guidelines: Risk Prioritization Process
57 4.2.5 CCPS Guidelines: Security Risk Prioritization Process
58 4.2.6 CCPS Guidelines: Security Vulnerability Assessment Process
59 4.2.7 CCPS Guidelines: Semi-Quantitative Risk Assessment Process
60 4.2.8 Chemical Manufacturer Risk Assessment Framework
61 4.2.9 Chemical Terrorism Risk Assessment (CTRA) Process
62 4.2.10 Fedtrak
63 4.2.11 GeoCTA
64 4.2.12 IME Safety Analysis for Risk (IMESAFR)
65 4.2.13 Pipeline Risk Management Manual Risk Assessment Method
66 4.2.14 RADTRAN
67 4.2.15 Rail Corridor Risk Management System (RCRMS)
69 4.2.16 Readiness and Resiliency Assessment System
69 4.2.17 Risk-Based Preventative Radiological/Nuclear Detection Resource Allocation (CREATE Model)
70 4.2.18 TRACC
71 4.2.19 Transportation Routing Analysis CIS (TRAGIS)
72 4.2.20 Transportation Sector Security Risk Assessment (TSSRA)
73 4.2.21 Trucking and Hazmat Trucking Risk Assessment (THTRA)
74 4.2.22 UIUC Tank Car Risk Analysis
76 Section S Analysis and Recommendations
76 5.1 General Analysis
76 5.1.1 Types of Decisions
78 5.1.2 Model Components
82 5.1.3 Interpreting and Applying Results
83 5.2 Gaps
83 5.2.1 Gaps in Models for Decisions
83 5.2.2 Gaps in Data for Models
85 5.2.3 Gaps in Model, Data, or Results Availability
86 5.3 Recommended Paths Forward
86 5.3.1 Recommendations for Model Development
87 5.3.2 Recommendations for Data Development
87 5.3.3 Recommendations for Communication and Data/Model Sharing
88 Appendix A Literature Review Results
99 Appendix B List of Organizations Contacted
102 Appendix C Phone Scripts and Email Templates
104 Appendix D Interview Questionnaire
109 Appendix E Online Survey Invitation
110 Appendix F On-Line Survey
111 Acronyms and Abbreviations