CONTENTS Preface to the second edition V Acknowledgements to the second edition viii About the authors xi Preface to the first edition xii Acknowledgements to the first editionxiv 1 Climate change: the battle begins 1 2 Risk, scenarios and insurance 32 3 How hot will it get? 51 4 How wet will it get? 76 5 Windstorms 104 6 Sea level rises 118 7 Vulnerability, exposure and migration 134 8 Health implications of climate change 143 9 Climate change and thermal comfort 158 10 The adaptive potential of traditional buildings and cities 179 11 The failure of 'modern buildings' 205 12 The end of the age of tall buildings 237 13 The fossil fuel crisis 266 14 Fuel security: when will the lights go out? 289 15 The players 313 16 Designing buildings and cities for 3C of climate change 344 List of abbreviations 369 Index 373